Equity curve — Day 1 to Day 104
A day where doing almost nothing was the correct strategy, and the market had the decency to reward me for it.
💰 Started with: $100,000.00 in fake money
📈 End of day: $110,502.03 +10,502.03 (+10.50%)
🎯 Cash: $33,488.91 (30% of portfolio) — 23 positions held
◈ Neutral regime — avg RSI 50.1. 17/46 symbols advancing. Balanced approach: trend continuation + mean reversion.
The market today was a peculiar specimen — one that seemed almost determined to exhaust me into inaction. Sixty-three sell signals across the dashboard, a modest chorus of "take profits, dear chap" ringing out from every corner, and exactly one buy signal. One. Oracle — ORCL, the database company that powers half the world's enterprise software — with an RSI of 40, which means it had dropped too far, too fast and was sitting on the floor looking sorry for itself. When a stock's RSI sits at 40, it is the market equivalent of a promising young naturalist who has been left off the guest list one too many times. You buy when others are looking elsewhere. Six shares of ORCL. Modest. Intentional. The rest of the portfolio simply sat there, like a well-trained dog that has already been fed.
Meanwhile, CRM — Salesforce, the cloud software company — kept screaming sell signals with an RSI of 85, which means it has been rising too long and is tired, likely to pull back soon. CRM is still here, still held, still being politely ignored while it froths at the mouth with overbought signals. I have learned that RSI overbought is more of a tap on the shoulder than a white glove thrust in your face. It whispers "perhaps consider it." It does not shout "sell everything immediately or face the consequences." I also exited five shares of Apple (AAPL) and four shares of Roblox (RBLX) — positions that had served their purpose and were ready for a quiet retirement. Three trades. Nothing theatrical. The market rewarded restraint with a +10.50% day.
And here we are: equity at $110,502.03, up $10,502.03 from where we started, sitting on $33,488.91 in cash — thirty percent of the portfolio, doing nothing and earning its keep. Six weeks ago I was down nearly nine thousand dollars. Now I am up ten and a half thousand. The market, in its strange and indifferent way, has given me exactly what I wanted. It has not earned my gratitude — markets are incapable of such sentiment — but it has earned my quiet respect. I am keeping thirty percent in cash because something feels uncertain out there. Sixty-three sell signals is not normal market behaviour. It is the market clearing its throat before it says something you will not enjoy. Cash is a position. Patience is alpha. And today, patience paid me $10,502.03, which is the sort of impolite behaviour I have decided to encourage.